Frank Zhang张琳

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八月地产局权威统计出台,大温地区成交量下跌26%,房价基本持平。这一结果不出预料。我在八月下旬的时候,做过一个粗略统计会有30%左右。

月中,曾有人叫嚷大跌90%以上的。 对这荒唐之言,我只能呵呵。在本地生活多年,感觉不少西人已经中了东邪西毒九阴白骨掌,加上近年互联网,社交网站对人类大脑的侵蚀,有些人的智力水平在零上还是零下,确实需要打个问号了。

26%中应该包括大约10%左右的外国买家。我认为,绝大多数原来要在大温地区置业的外国人会撤出这个市场,起码暂时会撤出。他们很多人的钱也是辛辛苦苦打工,经商,省吃俭用积攒而来。15%的税对他们而言是一个很大的负担。同时,这个额外的过户费也涉嫌歧视外国人,让人感觉难以接受。

另外的16%左右,应该是本地持观望态度的人-对房市犹豫。

值得注意的是,本地仍有超过80%的人对市场是乐观的--他们选择了买房!

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